St. Louis City 0-2 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.38
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
20%
5.7
X/2
10%
5.9
X/X
13%
5.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.45
2/2
16%
3.53
2/X
7%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.0pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.31/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.46
+45% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
18.8 Crosses 14.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Louis City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.45 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
258 Passes 325
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2023 St. Louis City St. Louis City 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
13.07.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-0 HT 0-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Louis City
0-2
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.18 xG 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
341 Passes 269
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC beat St. Louis City 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Louis City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, St. Louis City had 55% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 45%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.18 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for St. Louis City and 1.50 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?

St. Louis City 0-2 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 43%, draw 25%, Los Angeles FC 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Louis City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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