Wolfsburg (K) 2-1 Hoffenheim (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.4pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.1pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.7pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+31% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.58 xG 1.18
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
420 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
15.03.2024 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) ALKB
22.10.2023 Wolfsburg (K) Wolfsburg (K) 2-2 HT 0-2 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg (K)
2-1
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
1.32 xG 0.65
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
341 Passes 241
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) nicked a narrow win over Hoffenheim (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Wolfsburg (K) had 57% of the ball to Hoffenheim (K)'s 43%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.32 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wolfsburg (K) and 1.33 for Hoffenheim (K).

What was the final score of Wolfsburg (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Wolfsburg (K) 2-1 Hoffenheim (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg (K) 53%, draw 26%, Hoffenheim (K) 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →