Emelec 0-1 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 28 Apr 2025

Emelec
0-1 HT 0-1
Tecnico Universitario
📅28/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emelec v Tecnico Universitario — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.20/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.96
-32% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
22.0 Crosses 17.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.87 xG 1.01
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
314 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2024 Emelec Emelec 3-1 HT 2-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
09.09.2024 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKVK
08.04.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
18.08.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-0 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
20.03.2023 Emelec Emelec 1-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
22.10.2022 Emelec Emelec 3-1 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1

Emelec 0-1 Tecnico Universitario — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
0-1
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.58 xG 0.50
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
451 Passes 204
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 3
33 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario nicked a narrow win over Emelec 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Tecnico Universitario found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Emelec had 67% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 33%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.58 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emelec had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Emelec and 0.50 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario?

Emelec 0-1 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emelec win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Emelec 35%, draw 30%, Tecnico Universitario 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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