PKKU 2-2 KuPS Ak. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — FİN3, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
18%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
32%
2.61
Over Pick
68%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
18%
5.84
2-3
39%
2.05
4-5
28%
2.48
6+
15%
5.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
53%
+9.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.3pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-5.7pp
32%
Under 2.5
35%
-2.3pp
68%
Over 2.5
65%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PKKU EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 28%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +68% / +68%
1.00/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-44% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +37%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PKKU
3W-0D-2L
AWAY KuPS Ak.
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 2-3 HT 1-1 PKKU PKKU FINY
20.07.2024 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 1-2 HT 0-0 PKKU PKKU FİN3
12.05.2024 PKKU PKKU 1-2 HT 1-2 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN3
30.07.2022 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 4-0 HT 2-0 PKKU PKKU FİNKAK
14.05.2022 PKKU PKKU 2-0 HT 1-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PKKU
2-2
AWAY KuPS Ak.
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH PKKU vs KuPS Ak.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PKKU and KuPS Ak. couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had PKKU at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, PKKU had 55% of the ball to KuPS Ak.'s 45%, shots finished 23-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, PKKU had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for PKKU and 1.80 for KuPS Ak..

What was the final score of PKKU vs KuPS Ak.?

PKKU 2-2 KuPS Ak. in the FİN3 on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PKKU vs KuPS Ak.?

Before kick-off our model rated a PKKU win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split PKKU 62%, draw 20%, KuPS Ak. 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PKKU) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PKKU) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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