Barnsley U21 4-0 Queens Park Rangers U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.1pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.9pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnsley U21 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Queens Park Rangers U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.30/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/2.13
-12% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnsley U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Queens Park Rangers U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
07.05.2024 Queens Park Rangers U21 Queens Park Rangers U21 0-2 HT 0-0 Barnsley U21 Barnsley U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Barnsley U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnsley U21 cruised past Queens Park Rangers U21 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barnsley U21 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Barnsley U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21?

Barnsley U21 4-0 Queens Park Rangers U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnsley U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnsley U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Barnsley U21 50%, draw 21%, Queens Park Rangers U21 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnsley U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnsley U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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