Birmingham City U21 1-5 Swansea City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
48%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
32%
Over Pick
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.31
No
44%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1
14%
2-3
40%
4-5
29%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.2pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
48%
Away Win
37%
+11.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
72%
-16.4pp
44%
BTTS No
28%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.72/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/2.32
-13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -19%
34% Ball Possession 66%
18 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 6
160 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham City U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Swansea City U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10.05.2024 Swansea City U21 Swansea City U21 1-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Birmingham City U21 vs Swansea City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City U21 ran out comfortable winners over Birmingham City U21 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Swansea City U21 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Birmingham City U21 vs Swansea City U21?

Birmingham City U21 1-5 Swansea City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham City U21 vs Swansea City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Swansea City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Birmingham City U21 32%, draw 19%, Swansea City U21 48%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Swansea City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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