Coventry City U21 2-4 AFC Bournemouth U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
54%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over Pick
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.41
No
55%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
41%
4-5
22%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.8pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.6pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-9.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
67%
-21.9pp
55%
BTTS No
33%
+21.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry City U21 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 69%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.03/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.46/1.41
-33% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Coventry City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Bournemouth U21 saw off Coventry City U21 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Bournemouth U21 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Coventry City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Coventry City U21 2-4 AFC Bournemouth U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Coventry City U21 29%, draw 17%, AFC Bournemouth U21 55%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPDL More England - Professional Development League
28 Apr 2025
14:00 Sheffield Wednesday U21 vs Ipswich Town U21 Analysis →
15:00 Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Brentford U21 Analysis →
16:00 Birmingham City U21 vs Swansea City U21 Analysis →
16:00 Barnsley U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 Analysis →