Crystal Palace U21 3-1 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.2pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.0
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace U21
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.50
1.21 xG 1.23
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
254 Passes 422
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 10-0 HT 2-0 Crystal Palace U21 Crystal Palace U21 INGPL2
26.01.2024 Crystal Palace U21 Crystal Palace U21 2-1 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace U21
3-1
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
171 Passes 331
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace U21 beat Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Crystal Palace U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Crystal Palace U21 had 38% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Alb. U21's 62%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Crystal Palace U21 and 5.50 for Brighton & Hove Alb. U21.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Crystal Palace U21 3-1 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace U21 40%, draw 25%, Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crystal Palace U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Crystal Palace U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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