Panevezys II 4-2 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 32%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.47/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.48
+62% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panevezys II
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-3 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
20.05.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 2-0 HT 0-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
27.10.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
08.06.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-4 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panevezys II
4-2
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Panevezys II vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panevezys II saw off Kauno Zalgiris II 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Panevezys II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Panevezys II had 42% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris II's 58%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panevezys II and 1.75 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Panevezys II vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Panevezys II 4-2 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panevezys II vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panevezys II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Panevezys II 45%, draw 22%, Kauno Zalgiris II 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panevezys II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panevezys II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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