Zabbar St. Patrick 2-0 Melita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Melita EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Melita
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Melita 1-1 HT 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MALTP
14.12.2024 Melita 0-1 HT 0-0 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
06.11.2024 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 1-3 HT 1-1 Melita MLTP
24.02.2024 Melita 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
2-0
AWAY Melita
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Melita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zabbar St. Patrick saw off Melita 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zabbar St. Patrick as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zabbar St. Patrick had 57% of the ball to Melita's 43%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zabbar St. Patrick and 1.25 for Melita.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Melita?

Zabbar St. Patrick 2-0 Melita in the MALTP on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Melita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 55%, draw 25%, Melita 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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