El Gounah vs Smouha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Gounah v Smouha — Team-Based Signals
El Gounah vs Smouha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
El Gounah
MSR
2-2
HT 1-2
El Gounah
MSR
1-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
3-1
HT 2-1
El Gounah
MSR
El Gounah 1-1 Smouha — Actual Match Statistics
El Gounah and Smouha shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (74%) landed while no to both teams scoring (70%) missed.
On the day, El Gounah had 47% of the ball to Smouha's 53%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.43 to 0.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Gounah had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Gounah and 1.00 for Smouha.
What was the final score of El Gounah vs Smouha?
El Gounah 1-1 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Smouha?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 37%, draw 29%, Smouha 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (El Gounah), BTTS No went the other way.