Baerum 3-2 KFUM II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.1pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.2pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM II EU Bookmakers 25%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.22/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.22
-10% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
473 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baerum
1W-1D-0L
AWAY KFUM II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2024 KFUM II KFUM II 2-2 HT 1-1 Baerum Baerum NOR4
08.04.2024 Baerum Baerum 4-1 HT 3-0 KFUM II KFUM II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baerum
3-2
AWAY KFUM II
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baerum vs KFUM II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baerum nicked a narrow win over KFUM II 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Baerum as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Baerum had 52% of the ball to KFUM II's 48%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Baerum had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Baerum and 1.50 for KFUM II.

What was the final score of Baerum vs KFUM II?

Baerum 3-2 KFUM II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs KFUM II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Baerum 53%, draw 27%, KFUM II 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baerum), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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