Lilleström II 0-2 Stromsgodset II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
1.0
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
1.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
15.25
2-3 Goals EV+ ✓
44%
3.22
4-5 Goals
27%
2.26
6+ Goals
16%
2.31
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.22 — our 44% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
4%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset II EU Bookmakers 49%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
2.12/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.84/2.17
+10% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +96% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström II
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Stromsgodset II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Stromsgodset II Stromsgodset II 3-1 HT 1-0 Lilleström II Lilleström II NOR4
29.04.2024 Lilleström II Lilleström II 1-2 HT 1-1 Stromsgodset II Stromsgodset II NOR4
08.04.2022 Stromsgodset II Stromsgodset II 1-1 HT 1-1 Lilleström II Lilleström II NOR4
POST-MATCH Lilleström II vs Stromsgodset II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset II beat Lilleström II 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 20% / 41%) promised a tight game; Stromsgodset II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lilleström II and 2.00 for Stromsgodset II.

What was the final score of Lilleström II vs Stromsgodset II?

Lilleström II 0-2 Stromsgodset II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström II vs Stromsgodset II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stromsgodset II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lilleström II 39%, draw 20%, Stromsgodset II 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stromsgodset II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stromsgodset II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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