Casa Pia 0-0 Estoril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 28 Apr 2025

Casa Pia
0-0
Estoril
📅28/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Casa Pia vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.59
Over
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.41
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
22%
4.76
6+
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.47
1/2
11%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
11%
5.04
X/2
12%
6.36
X/X
16%
3.83
2/1
13%
32.0
2/2
9%
4.96
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Casa Pia v Estoril — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casa Pia EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.07/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.52
-16% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.3 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Casa Pia vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casa Pia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Estoril
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.05
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 Passes 389
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.12.2024 Estoril Estoril 0-2 HT 0-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
08.04.2024 Casa Pia Casa Pia 0-0 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR
10.11.2023 Estoril Estoril 4-0 HT 2-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
21.05.2023 Casa Pia Casa Pia 2-2 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR
16.01.2023 Estoril Estoril 2-0 HT 1-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
23.04.2021 Estoril Estoril 1-1 HT 1-1 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR2
POST-MATCH Casa Pia vs Estoril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casa Pia and Estoril played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Casa Pia and 1.50 for Estoril.

What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Estoril?

Casa Pia 0-0 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Estoril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 36%, draw 31%, Estoril 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Casa Pia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casa Pia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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