Estoril 0-2 Casa Pia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

Estoril
0-2 HT 0-0
Casa Pia
📅15/12/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Estoril vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.58
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.36
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
12%
5.53
X/2
9%
5.29
X/X
11%
3.43
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
4.09
2/X
9%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estoril v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Casa Pia EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.30/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.10
+25% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.6 Crosses 16.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Estoril vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Casa Pia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.28 xG 1.06
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
385 Passes 293
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.04.2024 Casa Pia Casa Pia 0-0 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR
10.11.2023 Estoril Estoril 4-0 HT 2-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
21.05.2023 Casa Pia Casa Pia 2-2 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR
16.01.2023 Estoril Estoril 2-0 HT 1-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
23.04.2021 Estoril Estoril 1-1 HT 1-1 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR2
30.12.2020 Casa Pia Casa Pia 0-2 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR2

Estoril 0-2 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril
0-2
AWAY Casa Pia
0.94 xG 1.66
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 Passes 244
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estoril vs Casa Pia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casa Pia beat Estoril 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Casa Pia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Estoril had 54% of the ball to Casa Pia's 46%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.94 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estoril had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Estoril and 0.50 for Casa Pia.

What was the final score of Estoril vs Casa Pia?

Estoril 0-2 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril vs Casa Pia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Casa Pia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Estoril 34%, draw 29%, Casa Pia 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casa Pia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Casa Pia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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