Napredak Krusevac 1-0 Jedinstvo Ub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
57%
+1.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.22/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.64
-25% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 68%
32.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.4 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.87 xG 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
289 Passes 294
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 18
38 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Jedinstvo Ub Jedinstvo Ub 0-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
10.11.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-1 HT 1-1 Jedinstvo Ub Jedinstvo Ub SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1-0
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub
1.52 xG 0.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 2
208 Passes 304
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Jedinstvo Ub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac squeezed past Jedinstvo Ub 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Napredak Krusevac as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 44% of the ball to Jedinstvo Ub's 56%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.52 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Napredak Krusevac's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Napredak Krusevac had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 0.50 for Jedinstvo Ub.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Jedinstvo Ub?

Napredak Krusevac 1-0 Jedinstvo Ub in the Serbia - Super League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Jedinstvo Ub?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napredak Krusevac win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 59%, draw 20%, Jedinstvo Ub 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napredak Krusevac), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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