Mladost Lucani 1-1 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 28 Apr 2025

📅28/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.9pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.24/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.43
+11% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
21.7 Crosses 15.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.31
47% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
292 Passes 293
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-3 HT 0-2 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
17.08.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
03.03.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
23.09.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-0 HT 2-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
31.03.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-3 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
30.09.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-1 HT 1-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-1
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.37 xG 1.27
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
237 Passes 576
78% Pass Accuracy 91%
12 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani and Novi Pazar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 34% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 66%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 1.37 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mladost Lucani and 1.50 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs Novi Pazar?

Mladost Lucani 1-1 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mladost Lucani win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 37%, draw 26%, Novi Pazar 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mladost Lucani), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mladost Lucani) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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