Hednesford Town 2-0 Stockton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Apr 2026

📅28/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hednesford Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +23%
1.84/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.28
+6% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hednesford Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Stockton Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.01.2026 Stockton Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Hednesford Town Hednesford Town İNGNLP
28.10.2025 Hednesford Town Hednesford Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Stockton Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hednesford Town
2-0
AWAY Stockton Town
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 1
8 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Hednesford Town vs Stockton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hednesford Town beat Stockton Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hednesford Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hednesford Town had 59% of the ball to Stockton Town's 41%, shots finished 17-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hednesford Town and 1.50 for Stockton Town.

What was the final score of Hednesford Town vs Stockton Town?

Hednesford Town 2-0 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hednesford Town vs Stockton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hednesford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hednesford Town 50%, draw 26%, Stockton Town 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hednesford Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hednesford Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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