Stockton Town 1-2 Hednesford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.71
Over 2.5
28%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-5.7pp
72%
Under 2.5
55%
+17.2pp
28%
Over 2.5
45%
-17.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hednesford Town EU Bookmakers 38%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
2.43/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.11
+60% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +29%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockton Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hednesford Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2025 Hednesford Town Hednesford Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Stockton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Stockton Town vs Hednesford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hednesford Town nicked a narrow win over Stockton Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Hednesford Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Hednesford Town?

Stockton Town 1-2 Hednesford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Hednesford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 40%, draw 31%, Hednesford Town 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stockton Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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