Gainsborough Trinity vs Morpeth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gainsborough Trinity v Morpeth Town — Team-Based Signals
Gainsborough Trinity vs Morpeth Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Gainsborough Trinity
İNGNLP
2-0
HT 2-0
Gainsborough Trinity
İNGNLP
Gainsborough Trinity 1-0 Morpeth Town — Actual Match Statistics
Gainsborough Trinity nicked a narrow win over Morpeth Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Gainsborough Trinity as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 54% of the ball to Morpeth Town's 46%, shots finished 15-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Morpeth Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.50 for Morpeth Town.
What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Morpeth Town?
Gainsborough Trinity 1-0 Morpeth Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Morpeth Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 42%, draw 29%, Morpeth Town 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.