AFC Sudbury 1-3 Harborough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
5.91
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
73%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
26%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
41%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
14%
-2.6pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.3pp
73%
Away Win
67%
+5.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 71%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.33/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.01
+21% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Harborough Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
28% Ball Possession 72%
4 Total Shots 30
2 Shots on Target 14
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
11.11.2025 Harborough Town Harborough Town 2-2 HT 1-1 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
26.04.2025 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-5 HT 0-3 Harborough Town Harborough Town İNGNLP
14.01.2025 Harborough Town Harborough Town 1-0 HT 0-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town saw off AFC Sudbury 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Harborough Town as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Harborough Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Sudbury and 2.67 for Harborough Town.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Harborough Town?

AFC Sudbury 1-3 Harborough Town in the England - Non League Premier on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Harborough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harborough Town win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 11%, draw 16%, Harborough Town 73%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harborough Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Harborough Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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