Manta 1-0 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 28 Apr 2026

Manta
1-0 HT 1-0
Uni. Catolica
📅28/04/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Manta vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
20%
3.72
Away Pick
58%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.71
Over
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.12
No
54%
1.64
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Manta v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manta The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica The Market 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.87/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.96
-8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
226 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
16.0 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3

Manta vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manta
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.77 xG 2.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
266 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.07.2025 Manta Manta 4-2 HT 2-1 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica EKV1
16.03.2025 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica 3-0 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1
31.07.2021 Manta Manta 0-1 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica EKV1
27.02.2021 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica 3-3 HT 3-0 Manta Manta EKV1
23.11.2014 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1
04.05.2014 Uni. Catolica Uni. Catolica 2-1 HT 2-0 Manta Manta EKV1

Manta 1-0 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manta
1-0
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.08 xG 0.63
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
170 Passes 264
60% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Manta vs Uni. Catolica
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Manta came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Uni. Catolica 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Uni. Catolica at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 48% for over 2.5, 46% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.64, roughly 61%.

On the day, Manta had 41% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 59%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.08 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Manta and 2.17 for Uni. Catolica.

Manta vs Uni. Catolica Result & Final Score

Manta 1-0 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Manta vs Uni. Catolica Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Manta 22%, draw 20%, Uni. Catolica 58%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uni. Catolica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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