Aucas 1-0 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 28 Apr 2026

Aucas
1-0 HT 0-0
Delfin
📅28/04/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.47
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.67
Over
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.39
No
55%
1.51
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
39%
4-5
19%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aucas The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin The Market 16%
-6% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.81/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.55
+21% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
21.9 Crosses 11.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aucas
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Delfin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.77 xG 0.82
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 Passes 262
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Delfin Delfin 0-1 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
11.11.2025 Aucas Aucas 8-0 HT 4-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
26.07.2025 Aucas Aucas 2-1 HT 2-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
05.04.2025 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
24.11.2024 Aucas Aucas 2-0 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
26.05.2024 Delfin Delfin 2-0 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aucas
1-0
AWAY Delfin
0.60 xG 0.19
73% Ball Possession 27%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
566 Passes 164
88% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Aucas vs Delfin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Aucas edged past Delfin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Aucas as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 73% to 27% in Aucas's favour, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 0.60 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for Aucas against 0.67 for Delfin.

Aucas vs Delfin Result & Final Score

Aucas 1-0 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aucas vs Delfin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Aucas 63%, draw 23%, Delfin 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aucas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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