HPS vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HPS v IFK Mariehamn — Team-Based Signals
HPS 1-2 IFK Mariehamn — Actual Match Statistics
IFK Mariehamn edged past HPS 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had IFK Mariehamn as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, HPS had 37% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 63%, shots finished 5-14.
What was the final score of HPS vs IFK Mariehamn?
HPS 1-2 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HPS vs IFK Mariehamn?
Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Mariehamn win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split HPS 15%, draw 17%, IFK Mariehamn 69%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Mariehamn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.