Masr 1-0 Pharco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 28 Apr 2026

Masr
1-0 HT 0-0
Pharco
📅28/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masr EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pharco EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +2%
1.17/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.99
-5% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.5 Crosses 14.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masr
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Pharco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.93 xG 0.91
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
279 Passes 270
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2026 Pharco Pharco 0-2 HT 0-1 Masr MSR
20.12.2024 Pharco Pharco 1-2 HT 1-1 Masr MSR
18.06.2024 Masr 2-2 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
16.01.2024 Pharco Pharco 0-2 HT 0-1 Masr MISLK
15.12.2023 Pharco Pharco 1-2 HT 1-0 Masr MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Masr
1-0
AWAY Pharco
0.86 xG 0.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
327 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Masr vs Pharco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr squeezed past Pharco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Masr as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Masr had 55% of the ball to Pharco's 45%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.86 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Masr had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Masr and 0.80 for Pharco.

What was the final score of Masr vs Pharco?

Masr 1-0 Pharco in the Egypt - Premier League on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masr vs Pharco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Masr 43%, draw 29%, Pharco 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Masr), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Masr) ✓ Under 2.5
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