Al Mokawloon vs Ghazl El Mehalla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Mokawloon v Ghazl El Mehalla — Team-Based Signals
Al Mokawloon vs Ghazl El Mehalla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Al Mokawloon
MSR
1-1
HT 0-0
Ghazl El Mehalla
MSR
1-0
HT 0-0
Ghazl El Mehalla
MSR
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Mokawloon
MSR
Al Mokawloon 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla — Actual Match Statistics
Al Mokawloon and Ghazl El Mehalla couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
On the day, Al Mokawloon had 47% of the ball to Ghazl El Mehalla's 53%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.94 to 0.81.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Mokawloon had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Mokawloon and 0.67 for Ghazl El Mehalla.
What was the final score of Al Mokawloon vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Al Mokawloon 1-1 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 28/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Mokawloon vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Al Mokawloon 36%, draw 33%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon), BTTS No went the other way.