Al-Ain 2-2 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Ain EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 30%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.10/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.38
+47% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Ain
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Najma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2024 Al Najma Al Najma 0-1 HT 0-0 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al-Ain vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Ain and Al Najma couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Al-Ain at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Al-Ain vs Al Najma?

Al-Ain 2-2 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Ain vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al-Ain 42%, draw 27%, Al Najma 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al-Ain) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al-Ain) ✓ BTTS Yes
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