28/05/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Al-Ain vs Al Najma Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
27%
Draw
25%
31%
Away Win
26%
50%
Under 2.5
44%
50%
Over 2.5
56%
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
49%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Ain v Al Najma — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al-Ain
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Najma
EU Bookmakers 30%
+15% /
+15%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+15% /
+15%
2.10/1.02
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.98/1.38
+47%
/
-5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+106%
/
-11%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
304 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
284 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.2
Yellow Cards
2.0
Al-Ain vs Al Najma Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al-Ain
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Al Najma
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
5
5
Shots on Target
2
5
Corners
0
1
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
08.01.2024
Al Najma
0-1
HT 0-0
Al-Ain
SUUD1
0-1
HT 0-0
Al-Ain
SUUD1
POST-MATCH
Al-Ain vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al-Ain and Al Najma couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Al-Ain at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Al-Ain vs Al Najma?
Al-Ain 2-2 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Ain vs Al Najma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al-Ain 42%, draw 27%, Al Najma 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al-Ain) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al-Ain)
✓ BTTS Yes
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SUUD1
More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
28 May 2024