Arabi 2-1 Al Bukayriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.07
Over 2.5
61%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.76
No
38%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.8pp
38%
BTTS No
47%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 21%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.16/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.66
+25% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Bukayriyah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.01.2024 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 1-1 HT 1-0 Arabi SUUD1
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al Bukayriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi edged past Al Bukayriyah 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Bukayriyah?

Arabi 2-1 Al Bukayriyah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Bukayriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Arabi 53%, draw 22%, Al Bukayriyah 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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