Al Faisaly 1-2 Al Orubah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 28 May 2024

📅28/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 38%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
0.82/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.08
-34% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Al Orubah
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 Passes 214
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.01.2024 Al Orubah Al Orubah 2-2 HT 2-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
01.03.2023 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD1
05.10.2022 Al Orubah Al Orubah 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
06.03.2015 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
17.09.2014 Al Orubah Al Orubah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
10.01.2014 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Faisaly
1-2
AWAY Al Orubah
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Al Orubah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Orubah nicked a narrow win over Al Faisaly 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Al Orubah found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Faisaly had 44% of the ball to Al Orubah's 56%, shots finished 15-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Faisaly and 1.00 for Al Orubah.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Al Orubah?

Al Faisaly 1-2 Al Orubah in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Al Orubah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 35%, draw 30%, Al Orubah 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Faisaly), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD1 More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
28 May 2024
16:30 Al-Ain vs Al Najma Analysis →
18:15 Ohod vs Al Taraji Analysis →
18:20 Al-Jandal vs Jeddah Club Analysis →
19:25 Al Qaisoma vs Hajer Analysis →
19:30 Arabi vs Al Bukayriyah Analysis →
19:40 Al Jabalain vs Al Batin Analysis →