Al-Qasim 1-2 Al Najaf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 28 May 2026

📅28/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
38%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+9.5pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.0pp
38%
Away Win
55%
-17.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.0pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najaf EU Bookmakers 59%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+48% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
248 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qasim
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Najaf
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
05.02.2026 Al Najaf Al Najaf 3-0 HT 0-0 Al-Qasim Al-Qasim IRAK
03.03.2025 Al-Qasim Al-Qasim 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Najaf Al Najaf IRAK
POST-MATCH Al-Qasim vs Al Najaf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najaf nicked a narrow win over Al-Qasim 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 38% — and on the day Al Najaf made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Najaf led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al-Qasim and 2.50 for Al Najaf.

What was the final score of Al-Qasim vs Al Najaf?

Al-Qasim 1-2 Al Najaf in the Iraq - Premier League on 28/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qasim vs Al Najaf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Najaf win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al-Qasim 30%, draw 32%, Al Najaf 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najaf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Najaf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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