Zakho 1-2 Erbil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 28 May 2026

Zakho
1-2 HT 0-1
Erbil
📅28/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zakho EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbil EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.37/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.93
+22% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zakho
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Erbil
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.02.2026 Erbil Erbil 0-1 HT 0-0 Zakho Zakho IRAK
14.02.2025 Erbil Erbil 0-0 HT 0-0 Zakho Zakho IRAK
POST-MATCH Zakho vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil nicked a narrow win over Zakho 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Erbil found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zakho had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zakho and 0.00 for Erbil.

What was the final score of Zakho vs Erbil?

Zakho 1-2 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 28/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zakho vs Erbil?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zakho 34%, draw 29%, Erbil 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbil), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erbil) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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