IK Gauthiod 1-4 IFK Kumla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.89
Over 2.5
64%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.35
No
32%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
31%
+4.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
69%
-4.9pp
68%
BTTS Yes
70%
-2.5pp
32%
BTTS No
30%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Gauthiod EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.49/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Gauthiod
2W-1D-2L
AWAY IFK Kumla
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
06.04.2024 IFK Kumla 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
21.08.2022 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 4-1 HT 1-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
01.05.2022 IFK Kumla 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
21.08.2021 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 2-1 HT 2-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
01.08.2021 IFK Kumla 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IK Gauthiod vs IFK Kumla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Kumla cruised past IK Gauthiod 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 21% / 38%) promised a tight game; IFK Kumla found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for IK Gauthiod and 1.40 for IFK Kumla.

What was the final score of IK Gauthiod vs IFK Kumla?

IK Gauthiod 1-4 IFK Kumla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Gauthiod vs IFK Kumla?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Gauthiod win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split IK Gauthiod 41%, draw 21%, IFK Kumla 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Gauthiod) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Gauthiod) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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