IFK Kumla 2-0 IK Gauthiod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.6pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Kumla EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Gauthiod EU Bookmakers 33%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.17/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.62
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Kumla
1W-1D-2L
AWAY IK Gauthiod
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
21.08.2022 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 4-1 HT 1-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
01.05.2022 IFK Kumla 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
21.08.2021 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod 2-1 HT 2-0 IFK Kumla İSÇ4
01.08.2021 IFK Kumla 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Gauthiod IK Gauthiod İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Kumla vs IK Gauthiod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Kumla saw off IK Gauthiod 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had IFK Kumla as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, IK Gauthiod led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for IFK Kumla and 1.75 for IK Gauthiod.

What was the final score of IFK Kumla vs IK Gauthiod?

IFK Kumla 2-0 IK Gauthiod in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Kumla vs IK Gauthiod?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Kumla win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IFK Kumla 44%, draw 20%, IK Gauthiod 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Kumla) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Kumla) ✗ Over 2.5
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