Chuncheon Citizen 2-2 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.9pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.5pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chuncheon Citizen EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 25%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
1.64/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.57
+15% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chuncheon Citizen
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Busan Transportation
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2 Corners 9
03.03.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-1 HT 0-1 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen GK3L
24.06.2023 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
28.03.2021 Chuncheon Citizen Chuncheon Citizen 0-3 HT 0-3 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GKOK
POST-MATCH Chuncheon Citizen vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chuncheon Citizen and Busan Transportation shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Chuncheon Citizen at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chuncheon Citizen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chuncheon Citizen and 1.00 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Chuncheon Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Chuncheon Citizen 2-2 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chuncheon Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chuncheon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Chuncheon Citizen 51%, draw 22%, Busan Transportation 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chuncheon Citizen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chuncheon Citizen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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