Ulsan Citizen 3-2 Yangpyeong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 28 Jun 2024

Ulsan Citizen
3-2 HT 0-0
Yangpyeong
📅28/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
South Kore - K3 League – 2024

Ulsan Citizen vs Yangpyeong Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.88
No
41%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-9.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.6pp
41%
BTTS No
51%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ulsan Citizen v Yangpyeong — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Yangpyeong EU Bookmakers 32%
-20% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.19/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.76
-9% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +52%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ulsan Citizen vs Yangpyeong Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Yangpyeong
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 0-2 HT 0-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
11.11.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong GK3L
17.06.2023 Yangpyeong Yangpyeong 1-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Yangpyeong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Citizen nicked a narrow win over Yangpyeong 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ulsan Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ulsan Citizen had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 0.33 for Yangpyeong.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Yangpyeong?

Ulsan Citizen 3-2 Yangpyeong in the South Kore - K3 League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Yangpyeong?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yangpyeong win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 34%, draw 29%, Yangpyeong 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yangpyeong) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yangpyeong) ✓ BTTS Yes
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