AZ Alkmaar 6-0 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Jun 2024

AZ Alkmaar
6-0 HT 3-0
AEK Atina
📅28/06/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

AZ Alkmaar vs AEK Atina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.7pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AZ Alkmaar v AEK Atina — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.63/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.15
+1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
– Crosses 2.0
0.6 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar ran out comfortable winners over AEK Atina 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; AZ Alkmaar found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs AEK Atina?

AZ Alkmaar 6-0 AEK Atina in the Friendlies on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 38%, draw 25%, AEK Atina 37%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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