Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.1pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 31%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.77
+47% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Sigma Olomouc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok and Sigma Olomouc couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jagiellonia Bialystok at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Sigma Olomouc?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Sigma Olomouc in the Friendlies on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Sigma Olomouc?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 41%, draw 26%, Sigma Olomouc 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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