28/06/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Almere City vs FCSB Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
27%
Draw
25%
37%
Away Win
46%
47%
Under 2.5
41%
53%
Over 2.5
59%
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
46%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almere City v FCSB — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Almere City
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
FCSB
EU Bookmakers 50%
-51% /
-51%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-25% /
-25%
2.00/3.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.34/0.85
+47%
/
-53%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-78%
/
+53%
44%
Ball Possession
56%
11
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
301 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
378 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Almere City vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FCSB squeezed past Almere City 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; FCSB found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Almere City vs FCSB?
Almere City 1-2 FCSB in the Friendlies on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almere City vs FCSB?
Before kick-off our model rated an FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Almere City 36%, draw 27%, FCSB 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (FCSB)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
28 Jun 2024