Liaoning Shenyang 1-1 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.29
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
73%
-3.9pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.7pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 12%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.94/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.16
+8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +7%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
483 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 79%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
22.7 Crosses 19.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nanjing City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.19
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
211 Passes 343
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 5-1 HT 2-1 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
31.03.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
05.11.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 3-0 HT 3-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
23.07.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 4-0 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
16.09.2022 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 1-1 HT 0-1 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
30.08.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-0 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
1-1
AWAY Nanjing City
1.52 xG 1.18
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
348 Passes 189
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang and Nanjing City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liaoning Shenyang at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 62% of the ball to Nanjing City's 38%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.52 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liaoning Shenyang and 1.33 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Nanjing City?

Liaoning Shenyang 1-1 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 69%, draw 19%, Nanjing City 12%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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