Shanghai Jiading 3-1 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.64
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 27%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -19%
0.80/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.40
-4% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
297 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
10.1 Crosses 15.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Jiading
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.68 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
242 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
05.05.2024 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 1-1 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
19.08.2023 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 2-0 HT 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
10.05.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 3-0 HT 2-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
15.09.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 3-0 HT 1-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
30.08.2022 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 0-0 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Jiading
3-1
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.51 xG 0.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
237 Passes 242
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shanghai Jiading vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Jiading beat Guangxi Baoyun 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shanghai Jiading as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shanghai Jiading had 49% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 51%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.51 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shanghai Jiading and 1.50 for Guangxi Baoyun.

What was the final score of Shanghai Jiading vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Shanghai Jiading 3-1 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Jiading vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Jiading win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Jiading 41%, draw 29%, Guangxi Baoyun 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Jiading) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Jiading) ✗ Under 2.5
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