Astorp 1-0 Varbergs GIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.1pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astorp EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs GIF EU Bookmakers 24%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.75/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/2.41
-16% / +136% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Astorp
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Varbergs GIF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2025 Varbergs GIF Varbergs GIF 0-1 HT 0-0 Astorp İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Astorp
1-0
AWAY Varbergs GIF
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Astorp vs Varbergs GIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astorp squeezed past Varbergs GIF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Astorp as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Astorp had 45% of the ball to Varbergs GIF's 55%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of Astorp vs Varbergs GIF?

Astorp 1-0 Varbergs GIF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astorp vs Varbergs GIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Astorp win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Astorp 49%, draw 27%, Varbergs GIF 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Astorp), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Astorp) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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