Ahlafors IF 3-3 Motala AIF FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.3pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 38%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.11/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.39
+17% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ahlafors IF
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Motala AIF FK
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
11.05.2025 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
24.08.2024 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK 5-0 HT 3-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
27.04.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 6-0 HT 4-0 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Ahlafors IF vs Motala AIF FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahlafors IF and Motala AIF FK couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ahlafors IF and 2.00 for Motala AIF FK.

What was the final score of Ahlafors IF vs Motala AIF FK?

Ahlafors IF 3-3 Motala AIF FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ahlafors IF vs Motala AIF FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ahlafors IF 41%, draw 23%, Motala AIF FK 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ahlafors IF), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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