Tristan Suarez 1-1 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.29
No
65%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.7pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.33/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.24
+11% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tristan Suarez
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 4
24.02.2025 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
17.08.2024 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-2 HT 2-2 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
30.03.2024 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-1 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
19.09.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-1 HT 2-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
06.05.2023 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-4 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
10.04.2022 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Tristan Suarez vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tristan Suarez and Ferro Carril Oeste couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tristan Suarez at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferro Carril Oeste led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tristan Suarez and 1.50 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Tristan Suarez vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Tristan Suarez 1-1 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tristan Suarez vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tristan Suarez 42%, draw 27%, Ferro Carril Oeste 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tristan Suarez), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tristan Suarez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
28 Jun 2025
21:00 Arsenal Sarandi vs Colegiales Analysis →
21:15 Chacarita Juniors vs Nueva Chicago Analysis →
21:30 Talleres Remedios vs Gimnasia Jujuy Analysis →
23:15 Temperley vs Chaco For Ever Analysis →