Osipovichy 1-1 Lokomotiv Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.78
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
57%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
10%
+12.8pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.2pp
57%
Away Win
75%
-18.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osipovichy EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 80%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.41/3.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/1.76
-67% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -43%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
230 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osipovichy
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
7 Corners 7
20.08.2023 Osipovichy Osipovichy 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osipovichy
1-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Osipovichy vs Lokomotiv Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osipovichy and Lokomotiv Gomel couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lokomotiv Gomel at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osipovichy had 43% of the ball to Lokomotiv Gomel's 57%, shots finished 9-12.

What was the final score of Osipovichy vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

Osipovichy 1-1 Lokomotiv Gomel in the Belarus - 1st Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osipovichy vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Osipovichy 22%, draw 21%, Lokomotiv Gomel 57%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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