Baranovichi 1-1 Ostrovets FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-5.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.91
+76% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baranovichi
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ostrovets FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2024 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
11.08.2023 Baranovichi Baranovichi 1-1 HT 0-0 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
POST-MATCH Baranovichi vs Ostrovets FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baranovichi and Ostrovets FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Baranovichi at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ostrovets FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Baranovichi and 1.00 for Ostrovets FC.

What was the final score of Baranovichi vs Ostrovets FC?

Baranovichi 1-1 Ostrovets FC in the Belarus - 1st Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baranovichi vs Ostrovets FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baranovichi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Baranovichi 55%, draw 22%, Ostrovets FC 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baranovichi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baranovichi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR1 More Belarus - 1st Division
28 Jun 2025
13:00 Osipovichy vs Lokomotiv Gomel Analysis →
14:00 ABFF U19 vs FC Minsk II Analysis →
16:00 Orsha vs Bumprom Analysis →
17:00 Lida vs Uni Minsk Analysis →
17:30 Niva Dolbizno vs Slonim Analysis →