Orsha 0-3 Bumprom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.0pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bumprom EU Bookmakers 57%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.41/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.11/0.94
+16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / +19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Bumprom
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2024 Orsha Orsha 1-0 HT 1-0 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
29.10.2023 Bumprom Bumprom 2-2 HT 0-2 Orsha Orsha BLR1
24.06.2023 Orsha Orsha 2-2 HT 1-0 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orsha
0-3
AWAY Bumprom
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orsha vs Bumprom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bumprom cruised past Orsha 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bumprom as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orsha had 51% of the ball to Bumprom's 49%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Orsha had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Orsha and 1.33 for Bumprom.

What was the final score of Orsha vs Bumprom?

Orsha 0-3 Bumprom in the Belarus - 1st Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs Bumprom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bumprom win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Orsha 28%, draw 23%, Bumprom 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bumprom), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bumprom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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