Tochigi City 2-1 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 37%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.49/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.33
+14% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.6 Crosses 18.9
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi City
2-1
AWAY Kagoshima United
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Tochigi City vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi City edged past Kagoshima United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tochigi City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tochigi City had 56% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 44%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Tochigi City vs Kagoshima United?

Tochigi City 2-1 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J3 League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi City vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tochigi City 34%, draw 28%, Kagoshima United 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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