Sagamihara 3-1 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
0.96/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.64
-38% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 16.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.07.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
10.04.2024 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
13.08.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 3-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
02.04.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
27.08.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
12.03.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
3-1
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
176 Passes 376
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara got the better of Azul Claro Numazu 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sagamihara as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sagamihara had 34% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 66%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sagamihara and 1.00 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Sagamihara 3-1 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 44%, draw 28%, Azul Claro Numazu 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagamihara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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