Sagamihara 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -29%
1.29/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.32
+9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
249 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.04.2024 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 2-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
13.08.2023 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 3-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
02.04.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
27.08.2022 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
12.03.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
09.12.2020 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu Azul Claro Numazu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-0
AWAY Azul Claro Numazu
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Azul Claro Numazu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara nicked a narrow win over Azul Claro Numazu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Sagamihara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Sagamihara had 38% of the ball to Azul Claro Numazu's 62%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sagamihara and 1.00 for Azul Claro Numazu.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Sagamihara 1-0 Azul Claro Numazu in the Japan - J3 League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Azul Claro Numazu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Azul Claro Numazu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 33%, draw 29%, Azul Claro Numazu 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Azul Claro Numazu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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