Kataller Toyama 3-0 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.27/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.34
-15% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Ryukyu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
30.03.2024 Ryukyu Ryukyu 3-1 HT 0-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
04.11.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 1-3 HT 0-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
15.07.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-0 HT 1-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
3-0
AWAY Ryukyu
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama swept aside Ryukyu 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kataller Toyama as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 60% of the ball to Ryukyu's 40%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kataller Toyama had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.33 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Ryukyu?

Kataller Toyama 3-0 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 42%, draw 26%, Ryukyu 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kataller Toyama) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✗ BTTS Yes
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